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Probability Calculator — Joint, Union & Conditional Event

Compute joint (A∩B), union (A∪B), conditional P(A|B), and complement probabilities for independent or mutually exclusive events with Venn diagram.

✓ Formula verified: May 2026

Probability

Results below

Enter Values

P(A ∩ B) — Probability of A and B
0.15

P(A)

0.5

P(B)

0.3

P(¬A) — Probability of Not A

0.5

P(¬B) — Probability of Not B

0.7

P(A|B) — Conditional Probability of A given B

0.5

P(B|A) — Conditional Probability of B given A

0.3

P(A) as %

50.0%

P(B) as %

30.0%

Event Type

Independent

What if your p(a) — probability of event a changes? 0.45 → 0.135 · 0.5 → 0.15 · 0.55 → 0.165

Scenario Comparison

Conservative (5%)
$16,470.09
$6,470.09 interest
Your scenario (7%)
$20,096.61
$10,096.61 interest
Aggressive (10%)
$27,070.41
$17,070.41 interest
High-risk (14%)
$40,224.71
$30,224.71 interest
Best return
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Independent Events AnalysisP(A)=50.0% · P(B)=30.0%

P(A)

0.5

50.0%

P(B)

0.3

30.0%

P(A ∩ B)

0.15

15.0%

P(A ∪ B)

0.65

65.0%

P(¬A) — Not A

0.5 (50.0%)

P(¬B) — Not B

0.7 (70.0%)

P(A|B) — A given B

0.5 (50.0%)

Independent: P(A|B) = P(A)

Relationship

Independent

Events do not affect each other

Venn Diagram

ABA∩BP(A)=50.0%P(B)=30.0%

Why Independent Events?

Independent events have no influence on each other. The occurrence of B does not change the probability of A, so P(A|B) = P(A). The joint probability is the product: P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B).

Examples: Flipping a coin and rolling a die; drawing two cards with replacement; weather in two different cities on the same day (approximately).

The addition rule for independent events: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A)P(B). The overlap P(A ∩ B) is subtracted to avoid double-counting.

Calculation Breakdown

P(A ∩ B) — Intersection

P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B) = 0.5 × 0.3 = 0.15

P(A ∪ B) — Union

P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A∩B) = 0.5 + 0.3 − 0.15 = 0.65

Complements

P(¬A) = 1 − 0.5 = 0.5

P(¬B) = 1 − 0.3 = 0.7

P(A|B) — Conditional

Independent: P(A|B) = P(A) = 0.5

Key Rules Summary

Addition Rule

P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A∩B)

Multiplication Rule

P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B) (independent)

Complement Rule

P(¬A) = 1 − P(A)

Conditional Probability

P(A|B) = P(A∩B) ÷ P(B)

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